Peak home blood pressure as an earlier and strong novel risk factor for stroke: the practitioner-based nationwide J-HOP study extended

While home blood pressure (BP) measurement is recommended for hypertension management, the clinical implications of peak home BP values have not been well studied. This study investigated the association between pathological threshold or frequency of peak home BP and cardiovascular events in patients with ≥1 cardiovascular risk factor. The Japan Morning Surge-Home Blood Pressure (J-HOP) study enrolled participants from 2005–2012 with extended follow-up from December 2017 to May 2018, which generated the dataset for this analysis. Average peak home systolic BP (SBP) was defined as average of the highest three BP values on 14-day measurement period. Patients were divided into quintiles of peak home BP, and the risk of stroke, coronary artery disease (CAD) and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD; stroke+CAD) was determined. In 4231 patients (mean 65 years) followed for 6.2 years there were 94 strokes and 124 CAD events. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) for the risk of stroke and ASCVD in patients with average peak home SBP in the highest versus lowest quintile was 4.39 (1.85–10.43) and 2.04 (1.24–3.36), respectively. Risk was greatest for stroke in the first 5 years: HR 22.66 (2.98–172.1). The pathological threshold of average peak home SBP for 5-year stroke risk was 176 mmHg. There was a linear association between the number of times peak home SBP > 175 mmHg and stroke risk. Peak home BP was a strong risk factor for stroke, especially within the first 5 years. We propose exaggerated peak home SBP > 175 mmHg as an early and strong novel risk factor for stroke. [Figure not available: see fulltext.].