Neighborhood-level disparities and subway utilization during the COVID-19 pandemic in New York City

Daniel Carrión, Elena Colicino, Nicolo Foppa Pedretti, Kodi B. Arfer, Johnathan Rush, Nicholas DeFelice, Allan C. Just

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

25 Scopus citations

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has yielded disproportionate impacts on communities of color in New York City (NYC). Researchers have noted that social disadvantage may result in limited capacity to socially distance, and consequent disparities. We investigate the association between neighborhood social disadvantage and the ability to socially distance, infections, and mortality in Spring 2020. We combine Census Bureau and NYC open data with SARS-CoV-2 testing data using supervised dimensionality-reduction with Bayesian Weighted Quantile Sums regression. The result is a ZIP code-level index with weighted social factors associated with infection risk. We find a positive association between neighborhood social disadvantage and infections, adjusting for the number of tests administered. Neighborhood disadvantage is also associated with a proxy of the capacity to socially isolate, NYC subway usage data. Finally, our index is associated with COVID-19-related mortality.

Original languageEnglish
Article number3692
JournalNature Communications
Volume12
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Dec 2021

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