TY - JOUR
T1 - «Consumer migration» phenomenon as a result of global migration explosion
T2 - 2019 Topical Problems of Green Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, TPACEE 2019
AU - Pitukhina, Maria A.
AU - Volokh, Vladimir
AU - Pitukhin, Eugene
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
PY - 2020/5/5
Y1 - 2020/5/5
N2 - The article analyzes reasons of spasmodic migrants' mass exodus from Africa and the Middle East in 2015. In order to describe this phenomenon authors propose to use catastrophe theory toolkit, that would help to describe explained phenomenon using particularly "casp catastrophe". Two basic factors were identified in order to develop the model - push factor (conflicts, instability, poverty in the Middle East) and pull factor (western values and aspirations for political and economic freedom and hope for better opportunity). Model's output variable is linked with migration flows intensity to the EU. "Consumer migration» phenomenon implies that migrants are aimed at not only saving their lives, but also at their well-being upgrade in Western Europe countries. Relevant statistical indicators in various EU countries and the Middle East make it possible to formulate a hybrid model of contemporary global migration explosion, which is a combination of a gravity model and "casp catastrophe" model. At the same time whileperceiving migration drivers and factors, however, we shall admit that migrants' desire to upgradetheir living conditions doesn't contradict the 1951Refugee Convention.
AB - The article analyzes reasons of spasmodic migrants' mass exodus from Africa and the Middle East in 2015. In order to describe this phenomenon authors propose to use catastrophe theory toolkit, that would help to describe explained phenomenon using particularly "casp catastrophe". Two basic factors were identified in order to develop the model - push factor (conflicts, instability, poverty in the Middle East) and pull factor (western values and aspirations for political and economic freedom and hope for better opportunity). Model's output variable is linked with migration flows intensity to the EU. "Consumer migration» phenomenon implies that migrants are aimed at not only saving their lives, but also at their well-being upgrade in Western Europe countries. Relevant statistical indicators in various EU countries and the Middle East make it possible to formulate a hybrid model of contemporary global migration explosion, which is a combination of a gravity model and "casp catastrophe" model. At the same time whileperceiving migration drivers and factors, however, we shall admit that migrants' desire to upgradetheir living conditions doesn't contradict the 1951Refugee Convention.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85085244115&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1051/e3sconf/202016411012
DO - 10.1051/e3sconf/202016411012
M3 - Conference article
AN - SCOPUS:85085244115
SN - 2267-1242
VL - 164
JO - E3S Web of Conferences
JF - E3S Web of Conferences
M1 - 11012
Y2 - 20 November 2019 through 22 November 2019
ER -