Chemically Accurate Relative Folding Stability of RNA Hairpins from Molecular Simulations

To benchmark RNA force fields, we compared the folding stabilities of three 12-nucleotide hairpin stem loops estimated by simulation to stabilities determined by experiment. We used umbrella sampling and a reaction coordinate of end-to-end (5′ to 3′ hydroxyl oxygen) distance to estimate the free energy change of the transition from the native conformation to a fully extended conformation with no hydrogen bonds between non-neighboring bases. Each simulation was performed four times using the AMBER FF99+bsc0+χ _OL3 force field, and each window, spaced at 1 Å intervals, was sampled for 1 μs, for a total of 552 μs of simulation. We compared differences in the simulated free energy changes to analogous differences in free energies from optical melting experiments using thermodynamic cycles where the free energy change between stretched and random coil sequences is assumed to be sequence-independent. The differences between experimental and simulated ΔΔG° are, on average, 0.98 ± 0.66 kcal/mol, which is chemically accurate and suggests that analogous simulations could be used predictively. We also report a novel method to identify where replica free energies diverge along a reaction coordinate, thus indicating where additional sampling would most improve convergence. We conclude by discussing methods to more economically perform these simulations.