Associations between Pre-Admission Risk Scores and Two-Year Clinical Outcomes in Ischemic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation

  • Keisuke Tokunaga
  • , Hiroshi Yamagami
  • , Masatoshi Koga
  • , Kenichi Todo
  • , Kazumi Kimura
  • , Ryo Itabashi
  • , Tadashi Terasaki
  • , Yoshiaki Shiokawa
  • , Kenji Kamiyama
  • , Shunya Takizawa
  • , Satoshi Okuda
  • , Yasushi Okada
  • , Tomoaki Kameda
  • , Yoshinari Nagakane
  • , Yasuhiro Hasegawa
  • , Satoshi Shibuya
  • , Yasuhiro Ito
  • , Hideki Matsuoka
  • , Kazuhiro Takamatsu
  • , Kazutoshi Nishiyama
  • Kazuomi Kario, Yoshiki Yagita, Takanari Kitazono, Naoto Kinoshita, Junji Takasugi, Takuya Okata, Sohei Yoshimura, Shoichiro Sato, Shoji Arihiro, Kazunori Toyoda

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

Background: We aimed to clarify associations between pre-admission risk scores (CHADS 2 , CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc, and HAS-BLED) and 2-year clinical outcomes in ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) using a prospective, multicenter, observational registry. Methods: From 18 Japanese stroke centers, ischemic stroke or TIA patients with NVAF hospitalized within 7 days after onset were enrolled. Outcome measures were defined as death/disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 2 years, 2-year mortality, and ischemic or hemorrhagic events within 2 years. Results: A total of 1,192 patients with NVAF (527 women; mean age, 78 ± 10 years), including 1,141 ischemic stroke and 51 TIA, were analyzed. Rates of death/disability, mortality, and ischemic or hemorrhagic events increased significantly with increasing pre-admission CHADS 2 (p for trend <0.001 for death/disability and mortality, p for trend = 0.024 for events), CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc (p for trend <0.001 for all), and HAS-BLED (p for trend = 0.004 for death/disability, p for trend <0.001 for mortality, p for trend = 0.024 for events) scores. Pre-admission CHADS 2 (OR per 1 point, 1.52; 95% CI 1.35-1.71; p <0.001 for death/disability; hazard ratio (HR) per 1 point, 1.23; 95% CI 1.12-1.35; p <0.001 for mortality; HR per 1 point, 1.14; 95% CI 1.02-1.26; p = 0.016 for events), CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc (1.55, 1.41-1.72, p < 0.001; 1.21, 1.12-1.30, p < 0.001; 1.17, 1.07-1.27, p < 0.001; respectively), and HAS-BLED (1.33, 1.17-1.52, p < 0.001; 1.23, 1.10-1.38, p < 0.001; 1.18, 1.05-1.34, p = 0.008; respectively) scores were independently associated with all outcome measures. Conclusions: In ischemic stroke or TIA patients with NVAF, all pre-admission risk scores were independently associated with death/disability at 2 years and 2-year mortality, as well as ischemic or hemorrhagic events within 2 years.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)170-179
Number of pages10
JournalCerebrovascular Diseases
Volume45
Issue number3-4
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 May 2018
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Atrial fibrillation
  • Ischemic stroke
  • Mortality
  • Outcome
  • Risk score
  • Transient ischemic attack

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